Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.186132 0.214191 0.246252 0.285857 0.333827 0.390506 0.463227
2025-05-18 0.143376 0.179357 0.225158 0.288862 0.377014 0.497560 0.680116
2025-05-25 0.117662 0.156230 0.209344 0.290193 0.414593 0.606900 0.944633
2025-06-01 0.099869 0.138711 0.195536 0.288447 0.444452 0.712416 1.250859
2025-06-08 0.086408 0.124348 0.182597 0.283586 0.466130 0.810037 1.592479
2025-06-15 0.078728 0.117099 0.178747 0.291833 0.511726 0.967180 2.151926
2025-06-22 0.070185 0.107051 0.168385 0.285994 0.528515 1.072002 2.660986
2025-06-29 0.064570 0.100924 0.163517 0.288964 0.563625 1.232311 3.456215
2025-07-06 0.058973 0.094054 0.156196 0.285476 0.583539 1.364563 4.293091
2025-07-13 0.055383 0.090199 0.153743 0.291294 0.626728 1.580979 5.700584
2025-07-20 0.052378 0.087005 0.152018 0.298235 0.675015 1.840025 7.689325
2025-07-27 0.049618 0.083927 0.150048 0.304184 0.722878 2.128368 10.392202
2025-08-03 0.047245 0.081382 0.148938 0.312327 0.781384 2.502377 14.643558
2025-08-10 0.044663 0.078167 0.146036 0.315657 0.827705 2.869988 20.173340
2025-08-17 0.042197 0.074928 0.142654 0.317137 0.869393 3.257993 27.745155
2025-08-24 0.039730 0.071440 0.138285 0.315182 0.899422 3.623168 37.361825
2025-08-31 0.037270 0.067738 0.132996 0.309748 0.915708 3.938136 48.867132
2025-09-07 0.036005 0.066397 0.132923 0.318968 0.991069 4.687359 77.898576
2025-09-14 0.033878 0.063042 0.127758 0.312439 1.002449 5.050859 103.745734
2025-09-21 0.032508 0.061197 0.125979 0.315759 1.056858 5.802080 163.049274
2025-09-28 0.030853 0.058595 0.122082 0.311860 1.079029 6.349341 235.897738
2025-10-05 0.029866 0.057386 0.121488 0.318365 1.152547 7.477999 431.797305
2025-10-12 0.029001 0.056373 0.121273 0.326130 1.237183 8.914436 894.178235